Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 7.670682e-01 0.983668 1.226875 1.516954 1.850315 2.218383 2.652429
2025-03-09 5.181452e-01 0.805156 1.166420 1.639573 2.228340 2.923215 3.791499
2025-03-16 3.234016e-01 0.623000 1.048070 1.656595 2.468647 3.481187 4.805019
2025-03-23 2.274668e-01 0.538179 1.028809 1.784148 2.847414 4.227118 6.088830
2025-03-30 1.535886e-01 0.455687 0.988126 1.866176 3.162604 4.903380 7.314769
2025-04-06 9.754472e-02 0.376197 0.928602 1.903462 3.408485 5.492565 8.446738
2025-04-13 5.322939e-02 0.290528 0.832141 1.861701 3.526571 5.904318 9.351503
2025-04-20 2.995538e-02 0.237475 0.779256 1.878115 3.724613 6.427901 10.416871
2025-04-27 1.570732e-02 0.194897 0.733353 1.895754 3.919209 6.947895 11.486817
2025-05-04 5.806500e-03 0.146855 0.656269 1.840972 3.987775 7.280792 12.299640
2025-05-11 1.363973e-03 0.107436 0.582168 1.776400 4.029302 7.568388 13.049632
2025-05-18 2.411362e-04 0.086619 0.550463 1.790959 4.202281 8.056303 14.094228
2025-05-25 5.961361e-08 0.062601 0.495579 1.748935 4.277204 8.403438 14.956771
2025-06-01 NaN 0.056539 0.503241 1.848959 4.612814 9.168630 16.450928
2025-06-08 NaN 0.042974 0.470948 1.849625 4.765254 9.648372 17.533832
2025-06-15 NaN 0.040812 0.489884 1.977431 5.160756 10.526168 19.225459
2025-06-22 NaN 0.035775 0.491125 2.060329 5.474166 11.278661 20.742009
2025-06-29 NaN 0.028799 0.475736 2.097599 5.700728 11.894787 22.063092
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019324 0.432194 2.051675 5.760838 12.238132 22.975596
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014417 0.412843 2.068531 5.944235 12.787550 24.209073
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010598 0.395316 2.087014 6.130032 13.343143 25.458196
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006013 0.354960 2.028351 6.152466 13.622205 26.283284
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002904 0.314633 1.959281 6.146317 13.849456 27.028640